A Forecast Is Not a Verdict: Why The Economist Misreads 2027 By Kola Alapinni
Incumbency, a split opposition, a Muslim-Muslim ticket, and a public that expects little will, on this reading, carry President Bola Tinubu to a second term in January 2027.
The verdict the piece withholds The Economist is wrong to treat cynicism, fragmentation, and a religious ticket as insulation.
The Economist builds its path to re-election on the failure of Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi to form a single ticket, and on the African Democratic Congress and the Nigeria Democratic Congress still negotiating with themselves.
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