After the floods comes super El Niño and potential droughts

For Ghana specifically, the most consistent risk signal points to below-normal rainfall during the minor rainy season (roughly September–November) in southern Ghana, the period historically most sensitive to El Niño's influence on the West African monsoon.

In its Global Seasonal Climate Update, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) confirmed that El Niño conditions have developed in the tropical Pacific and are strengthening rapidly, with a strong El Niño event projected for July–September 2026.

For the rest of the year, Ghana will be dealing with a strengthening El Niño that historically tilts the odds toward below-normal rainfall and early-ending rains later in the season.