How administrative voids in visa overstay data became the engine of global nativist politics

How administrative voids in visa overstay data became the engine of global nativist politics

When the United States government's official proclamation cited, in the same document, both a country's overstay rate and the presence of "radical Islamic terrorist groups," it performed a specific ideological function: it made the Muslim identity of the migrants from that country relevant to an administrative question about visa compliance, for which their religious identity is entirely irrelevant.

The Ghanaian professional living in London who was told by a Reform UK activist to "go back where they came from" during the summer 2024 riots had her status in the country she has legally made her home challenged not by any administrative finding but by a political movement that has found in migration policy the most productive source of electoral energy currently available in British politics.

The alternative, which is to set arbitrary numerical thresholds, apply them selectively to geopolitically convenient targets, conflate administrative non-compliance with terrorism, and use the resulting political heat to drive electoral mobilisation, is not an immigration policy.

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