Why the Trump effect is different in 2026 than 2018
The recent New York Times/Siena University polls of six battleground Senate races found the GOP candidates winning at least 90% of Trump approvers in Iowa, Maine, Ohio and Texas, and around 85% in Alaska and North Carolina.
The competitive showings for the GOP Senate candidates in red-leaning states where Trump’s approval rating has fallen so far “show that the Republican actual voter performance has achieved a real solid floor in those states,” says Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics.
The brightest warning light for Democrats in this year’s election is the consistent finding in early national and state polls that they are not winning nearly as large a share of voters who disapprove of President Donald Trump’s performance as they did during his first term.
This is a summary of the original articles listed below. Always read the source articles for the full context. GhanaSummary does not create or modify the news — we summarise and link to original publishers.
