Tactical voting: How opposition can defeat Tinubu without a sole candidate, by Olu Fasan
According to Duverger’s Law, a political science theory, in first-past-the-post voting systems like the US and the UK, most citizens don’t waste their votes by voting for parties that can’t win; rather, they vote for the opposition party they believe can defeat the incumbent they don’t like; it’s called “lesser-evil” voting.
Truth is, Nigeria’s plurality and first-past-the-post voting system allows Tinubu to exploit a divided opposition and win a narrow victory, ruthlessly deploying wedge issues and state resources; after all, in his words, “all is fair in politics”.
Under Nigeria’s plurality and first-past-the-post voting system, a candidate can secure just 30 per cent of the votes cast and still become president, provided the 30 per cent is the highest in the election.
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