March and March have changed SA’s population projections
Migration on the rise… and then Stats SA calculates net migration annually, running from July to June each year.
Because the two months fell at the end of the annual cycle, the shift was enough to pull down the whole year’s net migration estimate for 2026, even though the broader five-year trend to 2026 still showed strong net inflows overall.
International migration into the black African population group was assessed at 919 607 for 2021-2026, down from 956,984 in the previous five-year period, according to the report’s migration assumptions table.
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