JoyNews Research estimates that the 450,000 barrels of light crude oil, which arrived in Ghana on Monday, May 19, 2025, are likely to last no more than 16 days.
That sets June 4, 2025 as the next critical date by which new fuel must arrive or the country might experience electricity generation shortfall.
The calculation is based on precedent.
In 2022, when Ghana faced a similar disruption, the Energy Ministry stated that 550,000 barrels of light crude oil would be needed to support thermal generation for 20 days. "Because of the anticipated gas supply outages, it will be necessary to make provision for about 550,000 barrels of LCO to support the operation of about 850 MW generation capacity for a period of 20 days," the Ministry said at the time.